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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 04/07 11:35
Cattle Futures Scale Lower Following Massive Rally
Following a massive surge in the cattle contracts over the last seven
trading days, traders are now letting the contracts trade mildly lower as some
technical exhaustion sets in.
Rick Kment
DTN Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
The livestock complex is mixed heading into Tuesday's noon hour as the
cattle futures are experiencing some technical exhaustion and the lean hog
complex is as well. Still no cash cattle trade has developed. May corn is down
5 1/2 cents per bushel and May soybean meal is down $4.70. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average is down 239.41 points and NASDAQ is down 156.24 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
After rallying aggressively over the last seven trading days, the live
cattle complex seems to be waiving its white flag, and is experiencing some
exhaustion after such a tremendous mpve. April live cattle are up $0.35 at
$248.37, June live cattle are down $1.04 at $245.97 and August live cattle are
down $1.07 at $241.80. Until the market sees what's going to develop
fundamentally this week, a sideways or potentially even minor lower trend may
begin to develop. At this point no new cash cattle trade has developed and
trade will likely be delayed until the later part of the week. Do note that JBS
workers are returning to work Tuesday at the Greeley, Colorado, packing plant
which ends a long, three-week strike that began on March 16. Negotiations will
continue on Thursday and Friday as no labor agreement has been reached yet.
Boxed beef prices are mixed: choice down $1.87 ($386.17) and select up $0.26
($388.63) with a movement of 73 loads (61.91 loads of choice,
FEEDER CATTLE:
Keeping in perfect unison with the live cattle complex, the feeder cattle
contracts are also trading slightly lower into Tuesday's noon hour. April
feeders are down $3.37 at $368.65, May feeders are down $3.65 at $366.70 and
August feeders are down $3.65 at $366.17. Until the live cattle complex turns
higher again, it's likely the feeder cattle contracts will remain skeptical of
trading much higher.
LEAN HOGS:
Following Monday's rapid surge, the lean hog complex is also seeing some
minor resistance in its nearby contracts while its deferred contracts continue
to scale higher. April lean hogs are down $0.05 at $90.42, June lean hogs are
down $0.65 at $107.05 and July lean hogs are down $0.27 at $109.67. Midday pork
cutout values are up slightly, which is helpful from a fundamental sense, but
until traders regain confidence, the market could simply hold steady.
The projected CME Lean Hog Index for 4/6/2026 is up $0.13 at $90.06, and the
actual index for 4/3/2026 is down $0.08 at $89.93. Hog prices are unavailable
on the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report because of confidentiality. However, we
can see that only 1,370 head have traded this morning and the market's five-day
rolling average now sits at $90.28. Pork cutouts total 165.82 loads with 151.11
loads of pork cuts and 14.71 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up $0.51,
$99.55.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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